Brief examination of Olive Branch Prophecies
and other Prophetic Statements made by Christopher C. Warren




This article has a required prerequisite article named "An analysis of  'event-styled' Prophecy and its application to False Prophecy concepts". If you are not familour with the concepts presented within the prerequisite article, you are strongly advised to read it and understand its concepts and terminology before proceeding with reading this article.

This is an analysis of a few Olive Branch "Prophecies" and other Prophetic Statements made by Christopher C. Warren, using the Biblical criteria for Prophecies as shown to us primarily in 1 Cor. 14:3 and the terms that came forth during the analysis of Prophecy done in the aforementioned prerequisite article.


A list of types of False Prophecies is shown below:

Prediction-Failed False Prophecy (outright)
Fulfilled False Prophecy (outright)

Open-Ended, Duration-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (category is the least likely to become Prediction-Failed, and is a demonstrated False Prophet Trap)
Open-Ended, Duration-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Fulfilled)
Open-Ended, Duration-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)
Open-Ended, Duration-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling)
Open-Ended, Duration-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)

Open-Ended, Nature-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy
Open-Ended, Nature-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Fulfilled)
Open-Ended, Nature-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)
Open-Ended, Nature-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling)
Open-Ended, Nature-Flawed, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)

Common Event, Event-Invalid False Prophecy
Common Event, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Fulfilled)
Common Event, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)
Common Event, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling)
Common Event, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)

Non-Predictive, Event-Invalid False Prophecy
Non-Predictive, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Fulfilled)
Non-Predictive, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)
Non-Predictive, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling)
Non-Predictive, Event-Invalid False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)

Informationally-Determinable False Prophecy (category  would be a very powerful tool in the False Prophet's arsenal )
Informationally-Determinable False Prophecy (Fulfilled)
Informationally-Determinable False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)
Informationally-Determinable False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling)
Informationally-Determinable False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)

Unsubstantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies
Unsubstantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies (Fulfilled)
Unsubstantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies (Prediction-Failed)
Unsubstantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies (Self-Fulfilling)
Unsubstantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)

Substantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies
Substantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies (Fulfilled)
Substantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies (Prediction-Failed)
Substantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies (Self-Fulfilling)
Substantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecies (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)

Weakening, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy
Weakening, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Fulfilled)
Weakening, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)
Weakening, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling)
Weakening, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)

Discouraging, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy
Discouraging, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Fulfilled)
Discouraging, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)
Discouraging, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling)
Discouraging, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)

Discomforting, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy
Discomforting Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Fulfilled)
Discomforting, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)
Discomforting, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling)
Discomforting, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed False Prophecy (Self-Fulfilling + Fulfilled)



An examination of some Prophetic Statements made by Christopher C. Warren is shown below. Any quotations indicated as being from the "Olive Branch" are Copyright 1997, 1999, The New Covenant Church of God, B'rit Chahdashah Assembly of Yahweh, Box 120, S=671 23 ARVIKA, Sweden. URL: http://www.nccg.org | email: nccg@nccg.org.



Prophetic Statement
What it represents
Discussion
Olive Branch page 522.

World Anarchy Prophecied. The savage man shall run to and fro across the earth and will trample on humble people. I, the Lord, am with the humble, but My Fury is poured out upon the savage and the ignoble.



Open-Ended, Duration-Flawed, Event-Invalid
False Prophecy



This statement does not have enough information regarding its time frame for it to be useful for any of the Biblically-allowed purposes of a Prophecy.
Olive Branch page 631

The nation of Czecho-Slovakia shall eventually prosper and [shall eventually] remain as one state, though she will have to make sacrifices, that all things may be made equal.


Informationally-Determinable
False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)

Unsubstantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed
False Prophecy (Prediction-Failed)

Open-Ended, Duration-Flawed, Event-Invalid
False Prophecy






This is primarily identifiable as an Informationally-Determinable False Prophecy that went wrong. Czechoslovakia moved from being Communist to Democratic in a process named "The Velvet Revolution" which started in 1989. The prophetic statement that the country would not break up was issued in 1990 (in the middle of this process). The Velvet Revolution ended in May, 1991. The decision by the government to split the country was made in 1992, and the actual split was done in early 1993. (historical source: www.answers.com).

Note that intent of deception is not necessary for a prophetic statement to be invalid as a Prophecy due to being Informationally-Determinable. The very nature of the statement being Informationally-Determinable invalidates it (the existence of this kind of False Prophecy might be reason to suspect deception, however).

There is significant history behind this statement within the Olive  Branch. The printed version of this statement was issued in 1997, but the "prophecy" was created in it's original form in 1990. In 1990, the "prophecy" was worded like this:

The nation of Czecho-Slovakia shall eventually prosper and remain as one state, though she will have to make sacrifices, that all things may be made equal.

This Prophetic Statement became Prediction-Failed in 1993. In the published Olive Branch book, the author attempts to explain this away by invoking an alternate and unexpected meaning for the word "eventually"in an extensive footnote. There are two issues that invalidate such an explanation.

First of all, his explanation in the extensive footnote is incorrect based upon the logical construction of the statement, regardless of which definition for 'eventually' he uses. The way he describes it in his footnote invalidates it as a prophecy since it would be logically ambiguous. The phrase, from a pure, propositional logic viewpoint, would be that the after the "shall" comes the compound which applies as a single combination. For this statement to hold true and not be ambiguous, you must have "eventually prosper" hold and "remain as one state" to hold.

If he claims that he meant "eventually prosper" and "eventually remain as one state", then it must be stated that way in the first place, since they would have different truth values and the claim produces two statements that are not logically equivalent.
In logic, you do have a name for an argument where all hypotheses are not states; this is called the "enthymeme." However, the vast majority of readers of the statement would have the same additional phrase in mind so that there would be no confusion and they would insert the phrase. This is not the case here.

The enthymeme second "phrase missing but understood" is not one that the vast majority of readers would insert. Indeed, the vast majority would insert no additional phrase. Logically, the first form without the additional "eventually" would be that understood by human beings, in general, and one that does not lead to confusion.

(Of course, the term "eventually" means absolutely nothing since no other describable events are given that would allow one to determine this "eventually", so it's nothing more than an Open-Ended, Duration-Flawed statement, but if you read the prerequisite article, you already know this).

Second of all, it is difficult for me to accept that a genuine prophecy would be so confusing in regard to a prophesied event as to allow the event to progress in the exact opposite direction of what the prophetic statement most clearly indicates (which is the continued status as one unified country). There are much clearer ways that the original statement could have been said. For example:

The nation of Czecho-Slovakia shall eventually prosper and, despite any temporary splits within the country, will ultimately exist as one state.

as opposed with what was written:

The nation of Czecho-Slovakia shall eventually prosper and remain as one state

This supposed prophecy is loaded with problems, including being Event-Invalid. A fix that would have been required to eliminate the Event-Invalid status would have been to remove the word 'eventually' and give it some kind of relational time reference:

The nation of Czecho-Slovakia shall prosper and remain as one state for the next ten years,

a statement which would have Prediction-Failed just as badly. On the other hand...

The nation of Czecho-Slovakia shall prosper and remain as one state for the next five minutes

is a statement which would not have prediction-failed but, it's still Unsubstantial, Missing-Criteria-Flawed and Informationally-Determinable. There is no way to fix this 'prophecy'.

The final statement in the author's explanation is "Though the country divided, this was not the majority of the people in the Czech and Slovak Republics overall." This would have very little bearing (if any) on the concept of "remain as one state" in the context of one country splitting into two separate ones. As mentioned earlier, it is difficult for me to accept that a genuine prophecy would be so confusing in regard to a prophecied event as to allow the event to progress in the exact opposite direction of what the prophetic statement most clearly indicates (which is the continued status as one unified country).

Source: www.archive.org.

Known author: Christopher C. Warren

For the last two months we have been urgently getting the message out to the world, and especially to Norway, to prepare for big troubles in November. For the last two years we have been receiving visions and revelations warning of financial catastrophe, and especially this last month (October) we have literally been drowned in visions.

The most recent came this morning (Scandinavian time) at 08:25. I saw an alarm clock before me. Just above 2 o'clock the glass face was shattered as though it had been pierced by a bullet or some other high velocity device. Although we are not 100% clear as to the meaning of this vision it confirms an earlier one we saw of a small candle about to flicker out whose flame was distored so that it too was pointing at 2 o'clock. There is no doubt that something unpleasant is going to take place at "2 o'clock". This could be the time of the day when the anticipated "earthquake" strikes Norway (2 a.m. or 2 p.m.) or it could be a date (2 November, 14 November) or something else. If we learn more, we will post it here.

Though we still uncertain of the details, one thing we are certain of: November 1998 is D-day for alot of unprepared Christians and many, many more unbelievers. Are you prepared? What provisions have you made for the physical and spiritual security of your friends and loved ones? What of your neighbours? Do you have places of safety to gather to? Have you prayed to know what you are to do? Have you received answers to your prayers? If you are a Christian, have you checked to make sure you are being obedient to the Lord? (He cannot answer your prayers if you aren't doing what He has told you to do in the Word and by revelation). If you are an unbeliever, have you surrendered your life to Christ and accepted Him as your Lord and Saviour? Have you genuinely repented of your sins?

The Lord uses calamities to awaken sleepy people who have resisted His call to freedom. Though the effects of a calamity may seem to be awful, their purpose it ultimately salvation, and therefore based on love.


Discomforting, Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed (fear)
False Prophecy
(Prediction-Failed)

This statement would have the effect of making the audience be afraid if it had been believed. The short statement at the end does not alleviate this and is actually a continuation of threats contained one paragraph earlier, essentially saying that bad things are coming because God loves you and wants you to repent now.

Fear is one of the many different things which are counter to one of the three allowed effects (comfort). This renders this statement Oppositive-Criteria-Flawed.

It is also completely Prediction-Failed. These statements have a specific month and year associated with them that is over 7 years old, and nothing resembling the predicted event has occurred.

Christopher Warren obviously knows that it has  Prediction-Failed, and my understanding is that he has indicated several different reasons why it should not be considered a Prediction-Failed False Prophecy

One stated reason may have been that it was not effective as a prophetic statement to it's audience due to linguistic technicalities regarding which statements may have come from God (as opposed with which were the author's own interjected opinions). Quite to the contrary, this piece of writing happens to be very effective at setting up the belief and expectation, through the first two paragraphs, that all of the predictive type statements were the result of having received visions and revelations from God. The first sentence of the third paragraph (which contains the D-day statements and threats) follows these paragraphs directly. Additionally, the directness and consistency of these characteristics throughout this long statement lead me to believe that this implication was deliberate on the part of the author.

Another stated reason may have been that he made a mistake in his understanding of the message that was sent to him by God, and something else actually happened other than a the described catastrophe (financial or otherwise). There is no allowance in the Bible for mistakes of this type regarding Prophecy.


Olive Branch (page number not verified)


Germany Great and Reunited

10. The land of Germany shall again arise in Europe and her several parts shall become one {reunited}, for good and evil, even as each will.

11. For that which she sendeth out shall return unto her again, and be restored unto her.

12. Therefore let her choose the better part in the last day, and be saved.

13. Let Colonies of the Church of God be raised in the great cities of the plains and in the cities of the mountains, even unto the [very] borders of Ephraim.



Informationally-Determinable
False Prophecy (Fulfilled)


This 'prophecy' has a recorded date of March 17, 1989. Information indicating that the prophecied event was a distinct possibility was widely available as early as 1985. See below.


Source: http://www.answers.com/

By the mid-1980s, the prospect of German reunification was widely regarded within both East and West Germany as a distant hope, unattainable as long as Communist governments ruled Eastern Europe. However, the hope of reunification was suddenly placed within reach by political changes within the Soviet Union. The advent of reformist Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev in 1985 caused waves of reform to propagate throughout the Eastern bloc, presenting an opportunity for change in the GDR.


This is a clear Informationally-Determinable False Prophecy. Note that intent of deception is not necessary for a prophetic statement to be invalid as a Prophecy due to being Informationally-Determinable. The very nature of the statement being Informationally-Determinable invalidates it (the existence of this kind of False Prophecy might be reason to suspect deception, however).




There are a large number of prophetic statements contained within the Olive Branch and elsewhere with the indicated author as Christopher C Warren. Some of these are listed below, but I do not address them here. Readers may wish to examine and evaluate the statements themselves.



Olive Branch page 580

PROPHECY ON CANADA

1. The nation of Canada shall become one with the United States of America, becoming as one voice.

2. And this that the land of Manasseh may become one land, and one people, under one government, in the days to come.

3. The voice of Japheth shall be heard for a short season, departing from the tent of Shem, but shall retrun with hunger in his belly. Even so. Amen.

Olive Branch page 631

The nations of Germany and Austria shall grow together, and be one in times to come.

Internet source (28 June 2006)

The following is by way of prophetic information revealed to us by Yahweh to prepare our people for what is coming.

They are writing detailed profiles on each and every member of MLT/NCCG based on what they can cull from the website, the posts here, sermons and email/IMs that they have been hacking into. They are indeed going to a great deal of trouble to try and discredit such a tiny group (I wonder why? Answers available from Yahweh). They mean to publish a very detailed character profile of each and every one of us, moulded in the image they wish to create, twisting the information (and misinformation) in the usual way, with a view to destroying us. The result is, however, that they will be destroyed themselves. In a sentence: what they wish to happen to us, will happen to them, and our ministry will simply be strengthened and enlarged. Little do they realise that they are doing Yahweh's work. But as Yah'shua said, stumblings will come, but woe unto them that cause stumblings.

So sometime in the near future - probably at Mr. Concern's site but also probably elsewhere too - they mean to extend their so-called "exposé" into what they claim to be minute detail character studies. Expect to find a very detailed profile of the existing leadership, and of the leaders to come with a lot of psycho-babble. The intent of these profiles will be defammatory, like the newspaper article, and not at all in the interests of truth. Expect to find very loaded terms and deliberately misleading labels like 'cult propagandist' applied to one of our people. The aim is to make us appear unstable, paraonoid, cultic, delusional - you name it, they will come up with it. In short, total character assassination.

They believe they are going for the metaphorical 'jugular vein' but as Yahweh has already stated, it is going to backfire on them. And very badly at that. Yahweh and Torah are our judge, and not these deluded people who are spending so much time on us - and for what purpose? Why not use their resources on the real cults out there, of which there are thousands.

Only those who know their Bibles will understand why. Many will fall away as a result of this but far more will be coming when they see the mighty hand of Yahweh at work.

28 June 2006

Olive Branch page 632 (statement made in 1990)

Hungary

19. And the nation of Hungary shall prosper and grow in wealth, becoming rich in material things

Olive Branch page 632 (statement made in 1990, presumed not to contain the word [east] at that time).

20. But in the other [east] European nations there shall be much strife and bloodshed;

21. And nations shall intervene, each in their own way, that order may be re-established

Olive Branch page 632  (statements made in 1990)

ON EFTA, THE EU AND BERLIN

1. The European Free Trade Association (EFTA) shall disappear as quickly as the communist regimes in Eastern Europe and shall be swallowed up by the European Economic Community (EEC).
2. And those who are a part of the EEC who murmur shall not be allowed to depart, but will be forced to remain.
3. And behold, the EEC will grow in strength until all its member states are as one nation.
4. The nations of EFTA will kick and struggle for a short moment but will crumble, even as the walls of Jericho, as one after the other of its constituent parts surrendereth itself unto the EEC.
5. It is expedient that the lands of Norway, Sweden, Finland, Iceland, Switzerland and Austria become a part of the new Europe, that not only history may be consummated, but that Isreal may be gathered without the impediment of borders.
6. Hungary and Czecho-Slovakia will be amongst the first of the eastern European nations to be admitted into Europe, and the lands of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania as they are freed.
7. And the western part of Yugoslavia shall also come, even the lands of Slovenia and Croatia.
8. The poorer Europeaon nations will come together for a while, for the rich European nations will not bear them up, for they love mammon {money} more than they love unity.